Bob strongly believes he will win the lottery and buys a ticket. He believed this the week before, but didn’t win. But, this week he is sure. His coworkers make fun of him.
Joe strongly believes in god and prays for good fortune. His prayers weren’t answered the week before, but he keeps praying. He is respected for his faith.
When someone strongly believes some improbable story and keeps believing against recurring evidence, we either laugh at or are worried for the person. We think they are either stupid or crazy. The only exception is religious or other superstitious beliefs. Why do we value irrational beliefs and the behaviours that are related in people’s worldview, when we don’t in every other part of their lives?